| Paper Abstract and Keywords |
| Presentation |
2006-03-03 15:40
Forecasting Daily Peak Traffic Variation with Neural Network
-- A Proposal of the Method and its Evaluation --
Takeshi Kitahara, Hiroki Furuya, Satoshi Konishi, Hajime Nakamura (KDDI Labs.) |
| Abstract |
(in Japanese) |
(See Japanese page) |
| (in English) |
This paper proposes a method for forecasting daily peak traffic variation with neural network, and investigates its practicality with actual daily traffic data. Forecasting future traffic variation is one of the crucial tasks for conducting communications network design and/or optimization. Historically, conventional time-series forecasting methods have been used for forecasting average traffic variation. For certain network planning or optimization issues, however, forecasting peak traffic variation, rather than the average, becomes more beneficial. To tackle this mission, a neural network forecasting model is constructed while weighting forecasting errors around peaks. The evaluation with actual daily traffic data demonstrates the performance of the proposed method. |
| Keyword |
(in Japanese) |
(See Japanese page) |
| (in English) |
Neural Network / Traffic / Peak value / Prediction method / / / / |
| Reference Info. |
IEICE Tech. Rep., vol. 105, no. 628, IN2005-202, pp. 271-274, March 2006. |
| Paper # |
IN2005-202 |
| Date of Issue |
2006-02-23 (IN) |
| ISSN |
Print edition: ISSN 0913-5685 |
| Download PDF |
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| Conference Information |
| Committee |
IN NS |
| Conference Date |
2006-03-02 - 2006-03-03 |
| Place (in Japanese) |
(See Japanese page) |
| Place (in English) |
Rizzan Sea-Park Hotel Tancha-Bay (Okinawa) |
| Topics (in Japanese) |
(See Japanese page) |
| Topics (in English) |
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| Paper Information |
| Registration To |
IN |
| Conference Code |
2006-03-IN-NS |
| Language |
Japanese |
| Title (in Japanese) |
(See Japanese page) |
| Sub Title (in Japanese) |
(See Japanese page) |
| Title (in English) |
Forecasting Daily Peak Traffic Variation with Neural Network |
| Sub Title (in English) |
A Proposal of the Method and its Evaluation |
| Keyword(1) |
Neural Network |
| Keyword(2) |
Traffic |
| Keyword(3) |
Peak value |
| Keyword(4) |
Prediction method |
| Keyword(5) |
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| 1st Author's Name |
Takeshi Kitahara |
| 1st Author's Affiliation |
KDDI R&D Laboratories Inc. (KDDI Labs.) |
| 2nd Author's Name |
Hiroki Furuya |
| 2nd Author's Affiliation |
KDDI R&D Laboratories Inc. (KDDI Labs.) |
| 3rd Author's Name |
Satoshi Konishi |
| 3rd Author's Affiliation |
KDDI R&D Laboratories Inc. (KDDI Labs.) |
| 4th Author's Name |
Hajime Nakamura |
| 4th Author's Affiliation |
KDDI R&D Laboratories Inc. (KDDI Labs.) |
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| Speaker |
Author-1 |
| Date Time |
2006-03-03 15:40:00 |
| Presentation Time |
20 minutes |
| Registration for |
IN |
| Paper # |
IN2005-202 |
| Volume (vol) |
vol.105 |
| Number (no) |
no.628 |
| Page |
pp.271-274 |
| #Pages |
4 |
| Date of Issue |
2006-02-23 (IN) |