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Paper Abstract and Keywords
Presentation 2006-10-11 11:00
Performance of time series prediction of a visual target in humans.
Manabu Shikauchi, Shin Ishii, Tomohiro Shibata (NAIST)
Abstract (in Japanese) (See Japanese page) 
(in English) is advantageous for animals and humans to predict changes in the environment. For example, because there
are latencies in the biological sensory-motor system, preying is difficult without the capability of predicting the motion of its prey. Furthermore, the motion of the prey would be aperiodic due to its instantaneous cognition and its noisy environment. In this difficult situation, preying can be successful if the rule governing the running-away is available. In connection with this example, this study aims at investigating predictive ability of humans with saccades for a moving visual target which is intermittently presented. The target was presented at a constant interval which was set properly for avoiding apparent motion perception and for permitting unconscious prediction. We used a 1st-order or 2nd-order AR process as the target time-seriesin order to make the time-series aperiodic, and thus the periodic-pattern-based (memory-based) approach was unsuccessful. In addition, we used random time-series for control experiments. that the random time-series was generated based on the AR-process and have the same statistics with the original AR-process. Results suggest the subjects performed quasi-optimal prediction of the AR process.
Keyword (in Japanese) (See Japanese page) 
(in English) Prediction / Perception / Aperiodic time series / Auto-Regressive process / Saccade / / /  
Reference Info. IEICE Tech. Rep., vol. 106, no. 279, NC2006-47, pp. 13-18, Oct. 2006.
Paper # NC2006-47 
Date of Issue 2006-10-04 (NC) 
ISSN Print edition: ISSN 0913-5685
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Conference Information
Committee NC  
Conference Date 2006-10-11 - 2006-10-11 
Place (in Japanese) (See Japanese page) 
Place (in English) NAIST 
Topics (in Japanese) (See Japanese page) 
Topics (in English) Bayesian Information Processing, and General 
Paper Information
Registration To NC 
Conference Code 2006-10-NC 
Language Japanese 
Title (in Japanese) (See Japanese page) 
Sub Title (in Japanese) (See Japanese page) 
Title (in English) Performance of time series prediction of a visual target in humans. 
Sub Title (in English)  
Keyword(1) Prediction  
Keyword(2) Perception  
Keyword(3) Aperiodic time series  
Keyword(4) Auto-Regressive process  
Keyword(5) Saccade  
Keyword(6)  
Keyword(7)  
Keyword(8)  
1st Author's Name Manabu Shikauchi  
1st Author's Affiliation Nara Institute of Science and Technology (NAIST)
2nd Author's Name Shin Ishii  
2nd Author's Affiliation Nara Institute of Science and Technology (NAIST)
3rd Author's Name Tomohiro Shibata  
3rd Author's Affiliation Nara Institute of Science and Technology (NAIST)
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Speaker Author-1 
Date Time 2006-10-11 11:00:00 
Presentation Time 25 minutes 
Registration for NC 
Paper # NC2006-47 
Volume (vol) vol.106 
Number (no) no.279 
Page pp.13-18 
#Pages
Date of Issue 2006-10-04 (NC) 


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