Paper Abstract and Keywords |
Presentation |
2013-12-19 13:00
Uncertainty Assessment of Solar Radiation Forecasting under Smart Grid Environment Masato Takhashi, Hiroyuki Mori (Meiji Univ.) SSS2013-28 |
Abstract |
(in Japanese) |
(See Japanese page) |
(in English) |
This paper proposes a kernel machine method for forecast solar radiation prediction with Gaussian Processes. Recently, renewable energy such as PV systems, wind power generation, etc. is popular in the world. Renewable energy plays an important role to suppress the CO2 emissions. However, it is difficult to introduce renewable energy into smart grids because renewable energy brings about a large amount of the uncertainties to smart grids operation and planning so that higher accurate model is needed for the forecasting methods. This paper focuses on solar radiation forecasting in PV systems. The proposed method makes use of the hierarchical Bayesian model that expresses the distribution of the predicted value called error bars. The proposed method is successfully applied to real weather data. |
Keyword |
(in Japanese) |
(See Japanese page) |
(in English) |
Solar Radiation Forecasting / Kernel Machine / Gaussian Processes / Error Bar / / / / |
Reference Info. |
IEICE Tech. Rep., vol. 113, no. 362, SSS2013-28, pp. 1-4, Dec. 2013. |
Paper # |
SSS2013-28 |
Date of Issue |
2013-12-12 (SSS) |
ISSN |
Print edition: ISSN 0913-5685 Online edition: ISSN 2432-6380 |
Copyright and reproduction |
All rights are reserved and no part of this publication may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, including photocopy, recording, or any information storage and retrieval system, without permission in writing from the publisher. Notwithstanding, instructors are permitted to photocopy isolated articles for noncommercial classroom use without fee. (License No.: 10GA0019/12GB0052/13GB0056/17GB0034/18GB0034) |
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SSS2013-28 |
Conference Information |
Committee |
SSS |
Conference Date |
2013-12-19 - 2013-12-19 |
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(See Japanese page) |
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Paper Information |
Registration To |
SSS |
Conference Code |
2013-12-SSS |
Language |
Japanese |
Title (in Japanese) |
(See Japanese page) |
Sub Title (in Japanese) |
(See Japanese page) |
Title (in English) |
Uncertainty Assessment of Solar Radiation Forecasting under Smart Grid Environment |
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Solar Radiation Forecasting |
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Kernel Machine |
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Gaussian Processes |
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Error Bar |
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1st Author's Name |
Masato Takhashi |
1st Author's Affiliation |
Meiji University (Meiji Univ.) |
2nd Author's Name |
Hiroyuki Mori |
2nd Author's Affiliation |
Meiji University (Meiji Univ.) |
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Speaker |
Author-1 |
Date Time |
2013-12-19 13:00:00 |
Presentation Time |
40 minutes |
Registration for |
SSS |
Paper # |
SSS2013-28 |
Volume (vol) |
vol.113 |
Number (no) |
no.362 |
Page |
pp.1-4 |
#Pages |
4 |
Date of Issue |
2013-12-12 (SSS) |
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