| Paper Abstract and Keywords |
| Presentation |
2023-12-08 09:30
A Proposal of Losing Point Prediction Method Reflecting the Day's Conditions Based on Tracking Data Sota Akamatsu, Eiichiro Kodama, Wang Jiahong, Bhed Bahadur Bista, Toyoo Takata (Iwate Prefectural University) SIS2023-33 |
| Abstract |
(in Japanese) |
(See Japanese page) |
| (in English) |
In baseball, the timing of pitcher substitutions is one of the most important factors influencing the winning percentage. Generally, the decision is made by the manager based on vague criteria such as the number of pitches, the condition of the starting pitcher, and the condition of the relieving pitchers, which may result in suboptimal decisions. On the other hand, recently, tracking data on pitch types and outcomes have been recorded for every game, and we believe that a predictive model can be constructed using the data to support the decision-making on when to substitute pitchers. This study proposes a method for predicting a pitcher's earned runs for the day based on tracking data reflecting the condition on the day of the game, with the aim of helping the manager’s decide-making when to substitute a pitcher. |
| Keyword |
(in Japanese) |
(See Japanese page) |
| (in English) |
Big data analysis / Tracking data / Least-squares method / Run prediction method / / / / |
| Reference Info. |
IEICE Tech. Rep., vol. 123, no. 296, SIS2023-33, pp. 49-54, Dec. 2023. |
| Paper # |
SIS2023-33 |
| Date of Issue |
2023-11-30 (SIS) |
| ISSN |
Online edition: ISSN 2432-6380 |
Copyright and reproduction |
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| Download PDF |
SIS2023-33 |