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Paper Abstract and Keywords
Presentation 2024-02-29 16:45
A probabilistic model on a Gompertz integrable difference equation
Kaito Suzuki, Takeshi Kurosawa (TUS), Daisuke Satoh (NTT) R2023-62
Abstract (in Japanese) (See Japanese page) 
(in English) We propose a probabilistic discrete integrable model on the Gompertz curve. A discrete integrable model provides accurate forecasting because the model perfectly reproduces parameters when pseudo data are on the exact solutions of the Gompertz differential equation and the model provides accurate forecasting with the actual data even in the first phase. However, the model is deterministic. The proposed probabilistic model enables us to describe probabilistic fluctuation for errors and to get the distribution of the estimate of the ceiling and confidence intervals.
Keyword (in Japanese) (See Japanese page) 
(in English) Gompertz curve / discrete integrable equation / probabilistic model / / / / /  
Reference Info. IEICE Tech. Rep., vol. 123, no. 399, R2023-62, pp. 42-45, Feb. 2024.
Paper # R2023-62 
Date of Issue 2024-02-22 (R) 
ISSN Online edition: ISSN 2432-6380
Copyright
and
reproduction		 All rights are reserved and no part of this publication may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, including photocopy, recording, or any information storage and retrieval system, without permission in writing from the publisher. Notwithstanding, instructors are permitted to photocopy isolated articles for noncommercial classroom use without fee. (License No.: 10GA0019/12GB0052/13GB0056/17GB0034/18GB0034)
Download PDF R2023-62

Conference Information
Committee R  
Conference Date 2024-02-29 - 2024-02-29 
Place (in Japanese) (See Japanese page) 
Place (in English)  
Topics (in Japanese) (See Japanese page) 
Topics (in English) Reliability of Electromechanical Devices, Reliability of Computer System, Reliability General 
Paper Information
Registration To R 
Conference Code 2024-02-R 
Language Japanese 
Title (in Japanese) (See Japanese page) 
Sub Title (in Japanese) (See Japanese page) 
Title (in English) A probabilistic model on a Gompertz integrable difference equation 
Sub Title (in English)  
Keyword(1) Gompertz curve  
Keyword(2) discrete integrable equation  
Keyword(3) probabilistic model  
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1st Author's Name Kaito Suzuki  
1st Author's Affiliation Tokyo University of science (TUS)
2nd Author's Name Takeshi Kurosawa  
2nd Author's Affiliation Tokyo University of science (TUS)
3rd Author's Name Daisuke Satoh  
3rd Author's Affiliation Nippon Telegraph and Telephone Corporation (NTT)
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Speaker Author-1 
Date Time 2024-02-29 16:45:00 
Presentation Time 25 minutes 
Registration for R 
Paper # R2023-62 
Volume (vol) vol.123 
Number (no) no.399 
Page pp.42-45 
#Pages 4 
Date of Issue 2024-02-22 (R) 

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